Judgment Under Uncertainty

📒Judgment Under Uncertainty ✍ Daniel Kahneman

✏Book Title : Judgment Under Uncertainty
✏Author : Daniel Kahneman
✏Publisher : Cambridge University Press
✏Release Date : 1982-04-30
✏Pages : 555
✏ISBN : 0521284147
✏Available Language : English, Spanish, And French

✏Judgment Under Uncertainty Book Summary : The thirty-five chapters in this book describe various judgmental heuristics and the biases they produce, not only in laboratory experiments but in important social, medical, and political situations as well. Individual chapters discuss the representativeness and availability heuristics, problems in judging covariation and control, overconfidence, multistage inference, social perception, medical diagnosis, risk perception, and methods for correcting and improving judgments under uncertainty. About half of the chapters are edited versions of classic articles; the remaining chapters are newly written for this book. Most review multiple studies or entire subareas of research and application rather than describing single experimental studies. This book will be useful to a wide range of students and researchers, as well as to decision makers seeking to gain insight into their judgments and to improve them.

📒Judgment Under Uncertainty ✍ Camille Morvan

✏Book Title : Judgment under Uncertainty
✏Author : Camille Morvan
✏Publisher : CRC Press
✏Release Date : 2017-07-05
✏Pages : 95
✏ISBN : 9781351352390
✏Available Language : English, Spanish, And French

✏Judgment under Uncertainty Book Summary : Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman’s 1974 paper ‘Judgement Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases’ is a landmark in the history of psychology. Though a mere seven pages long, it has helped reshape the study of human rationality, and had a particular impact on economics – where Tversky and Kahneman’s work helped shape the entirely new sub discipline of ‘behavioral economics.’ The paper investigates human decision-making, specifically what human brains tend to do when we are forced to deal with uncertainty or complexity. Based on experiments carried out with volunteers, Tversky and Kahneman discovered that humans make predictable errors of judgement when forced to deal with ambiguous evidence or make challenging decisions. These errors stem from ‘heuristics’ and ‘biases’ – mental shortcuts and assumptions that allow us to make swift, automatic decisions, often usefully and correctly, but occasionally to our detriment. The paper’s huge influence is due in no small part to its masterful use of high-level interpretative and analytical skills – expressed in Tversky and Kahneman’s concise and clear definitions of the basic heuristics and biases they discovered. Still providing the foundations of new work in the field 40 years later, the two psychologists’ definitions are a model of how good interpretation underpins incisive critical thinking.

✏Book Title : Judgment Under Uncertainty
✏Author : Amos Tversky
✏Publisher :
✏Release Date : 1973
✏Pages : 33
✏ISBN : OCLC:19598718
✏Available Language : English, Spanish, And French

✏Judgment Under Uncertainty Book Summary :

📒Judgment Under Uncertainty ✍ Camille Morvan

✏Book Title : Judgment Under Uncertainty
✏Author : Camille Morvan
✏Publisher : CRC Press
✏Release Date : 2017-07-05
✏Pages :
✏ISBN : 9781351350600
✏Available Language : English, Spanish, And French

✏Judgment Under Uncertainty Book Summary : Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman's 1974 paper 'Judgement Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases' is a landmark in the history of psychology. Though a mere seven pages long, it has helped reshape the study of human rationality, and had a particular impact on economics - where Tversky and Kahneman's work helped shape the entirely new sub discipline of 'behavioral economics.' The paper investigates human decision-making, specifically what human brains tend to do when we are forced to deal with uncertainty or complexity. Based on experiments carried out with volunteers, Tversky and Kahneman discovered that humans make predictable errors of judgement when forced to deal with ambiguous evidence or make challenging decisions. These errors stem from 'heuristics' and 'biases' - mental shortcuts and assumptions that allow us to make swift, automatic decisions, often usefully and correctly, but occasionally to our detriment. The paper's huge influence is due in no small part to its masterful use of high-level interpretative and analytical skills - expressed in Tversky and Kahneman's concise and clear definitions of the basic heuristics and biases they discovered. Still providing the foundations of new work in the field 40 years later, the two psychologists' definitions are a model of how good interpretation underpins incisive critical thinking.

✏Book Title : Attribution Theory and Judgment Under Uncertainty
✏Author : Baruch Fischhoff
✏Publisher :
✏Release Date : 1975
✏Pages : 56
✏ISBN : OCLC:227392572
✏Available Language : English, Spanish, And French

✏Attribution Theory and Judgment Under Uncertainty Book Summary : Research in two areas of human information processing--attribution theory and judgment under conditions of uncertainty--is characterized and compared. Differences in the picture of people's inferential ability which emerge from the two areas are highlighted and attributed, in part, to researchers' paradigmatic conventions. Ways to reduce the divergence of these two fundamentally complementary lines of investigation are suggested. (Author).

✏Book Title : Judgment and Decision Making Under Uncertainty Descriptive Normative and Prescriptive Perspectives
✏Author : David R. Mandel
✏Publisher : Frontiers Media SA
✏Release Date : 2019-09-26
✏Pages : 224
✏ISBN : 9782889630349
✏Available Language : English, Spanish, And French

✏Judgment and Decision Making Under Uncertainty Descriptive Normative and Prescriptive Perspectives Book Summary :

📒Judgement Under Uncertainty ✍ Daniel Kahneman

✏Book Title : Judgement Under Uncertainty
✏Author : Daniel Kahneman
✏Publisher :
✏Release Date : 1982
✏Pages : 555
✏ISBN : OCLC:1087790323
✏Available Language : English, Spanish, And French

✏Judgement Under Uncertainty Book Summary :

📒Innovation Under Uncertainty ✍ Valentina Bosetti

✏Book Title : Innovation under Uncertainty
✏Author : Valentina Bosetti
✏Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
✏Release Date : 2015-02-27
✏Pages : 192
✏ISBN : 9781782546474
✏Available Language : English, Spanish, And French

✏Innovation under Uncertainty Book Summary : Innovation under Uncertainty presents original research and insights on innovation in carbon-free energy technologies. Valentina Bosetti and Michela Catenacci provide a complete and informative assessment of the current potentials and limits and offer

✏Book Title : Depressive Personality Styles and Judgment Under Uncertainty
✏Author : James Allen Sparrell
✏Publisher :
✏Release Date : 1988
✏Pages : 400
✏ISBN : OCLC:31002292
✏Available Language : English, Spanish, And French

✏Depressive Personality Styles and Judgment Under Uncertainty Book Summary :

📒Acting Under Uncertainty ✍ George M. von Furstenberg

✏Book Title : Acting under Uncertainty
✏Author : George M. von Furstenberg
✏Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
✏Release Date : 2013-03-09
✏Pages : 486
✏ISBN : 9789401578738
✏Available Language : English, Spanish, And French

✏Acting under Uncertainty Book Summary : Uncertainty could be associated with wisdom, enterprise, and discovery. In ordinary speech, however, it has mostly negative connotations. There is "fear of the unknown" and "ignorance is bliss;" there are maxims to the effect that "what you don't know doesn't hurt you" (or: "bother you") in several languages. This volume suggests that we need be bothered by the excessive confidence with which scientists, particularly social scientists, present some of their conclusions and overstate their range of application. Otherwise many of the questions that should be raised about all the major uncertainties attending a particular issue routinely may continue to be thwarted or suppressed. Down playing uncertainty does not lead to more responsible or surer action, it sidetracks research agendas, and leaves the decision makers exposed to nasty surprise. This volume demonstrates that recognizing the many forms of uncertainty that enter into the development of any particular subject matter is a precondition for more responsible choice and deeper knowledge. Our purpose is to contribute to a broader appreciation of uncertainty than regularly accorded in any of the numerous disciplines represented here. The seventeenth-century French philosopher Descartes, quoted in this volume, wrote that "whoever is searching after truth must, once in his life, doubt all things; insofar as this is possible. " White areas left on maps of the world in past centuries were a much more productive challenge than marking the end of the known world with the pillars of Hercules.