Calculated Risks

Produk Detail:
  • Author : Gerd Gigerenzer
  • Publisher : Simon and Schuster
  • Pages : 288 pages
  • ISBN : 1439127093
  • Rating : 3/5 from 3 reviews
CLICK HERE TO GET THIS BOOK >>>Calculated Risks

Download or Read online Calculated Risks full in PDF, ePub and kindle. this book written by Gerd Gigerenzer and published by Simon and Schuster which was released on 10 November 2015 with total page 288 pages. We cannot guarantee that Calculated Risks book is available in the library, click Get Book button and read full online book in your kindle, tablet, IPAD, PC or mobile whenever and wherever You Like. At the beginning of the twentieth century, H. G. Wells predicted that statistical thinking would be as necessary for citizenship in a technological world as the ability to read and write. But in the twenty-first century, we are often overwhelmed by a baffling array of percentages and probabilities as we try to navigate in a world dominated by statistics. Cognitive scientist Gerd Gigerenzer says that because we haven't learned statistical thinking, we don't understand risk and uncertainty. In order to assess risk -- everything from the risk of an automobile accident to the certainty or uncertainty of some common medical screening tests -- we need a basic understanding of statistics. Astonishingly, doctors and lawyers don't understand risk any better than anyone else. Gigerenzer reports a study in which doctors were told the results of breast cancer screenings and then were asked to explain the risks of contracting breast cancer to a woman who received a positive result from a screening. The actual risk was small because the test gives many false positives. But nearly every physician in the study overstated the risk. Yet many people will have to make important health decisions based on such information and the interpretation of that information by their doctors. Gigerenzer explains that a major obstacle to our understanding of numbers is that we live with an illusion of certainty. Many of us believe that HIV tests, DNA fingerprinting, and the growing number of genetic tests are absolutely certain. But even DNA evidence can produce spurious matches. We cling to our illusion of certainty because the medical industry, insurance companies, investment advisers, and election campaigns have become purveyors of certainty, marketing it like a commodity. To avoid confusion, says Gigerenzer, we should rely on more understandable representations of risk, such as absolute risks. For example, it is said that a mammography screening reduces the risk of breast cancer by 25 percent. But in absolute risks, that means that out of every 1,000 women who do not participate in screening, 4 will die; while out of 1,000 women who do, 3 will die. A 25 percent risk reduction sounds much more significant than a benefit that 1 out of 1,000 women will reap. This eye-opening book explains how we can overcome our ignorance of numbers and better understand the risks we may be taking with our money, our health, and our lives.

Calculated Risks

Calculated Risks
  • Author : Gerd Gigerenzer
  • Publisher : Simon and Schuster
  • Release : 10 November 2015
GET THIS BOOK Calculated Risks

At the beginning of the twentieth century, H. G. Wells predicted that statistical thinking would be as necessary for citizenship in a technological world as the ability to read and write. But in the twenty-first century, we are often overwhelmed by a baffling array of percentages and probabilities as we try to navigate in a world dominated by statistics. Cognitive scientist Gerd Gigerenzer says that because we haven't learned statistical thinking, we don't understand risk and uncertainty. In order to

Calculated Risks

Calculated Risks
  • Author : Joseph V. Rodricks
  • Publisher : Cambridge University Press
  • Release : 23 November 2006
GET THIS BOOK Calculated Risks

Safeguarding economic prosperity, whilst protecting human health and the environment, is at the forefront of scientific and public interest. This book provides a practical and balanced view on toxicology, control, risk assessment and risk management, addressing the interplay between science and public health policy. This revised edition provides a detailed analysis on chemical and by-product exposure, how they enter the body and the suitability of imposed safety limits. Chapters on dose, with particular emphasis on children and vulnerable subpopulations, reproductive

A Calculated Risk

A Calculated Risk
  • Author : Katherine Neville
  • Publisher : Open Road Media
  • Release : 21 July 2015
GET THIS BOOK A Calculated Risk

A female financial whiz plans the perfect bank heist in this “high-tech, high-stakes” thriller from the #1 international-bestselling author of The Eight (The Washington Post). Verity Banks is the one of the most powerful women in finance, but she still reports to a man. Her boss not only refuses to implement her security plan to safeguard customers’ deposits, he also sabotages her shot at becoming director of security at the Federal Reserve. Outraged, Verity decides to take revenge by hitting her

Calculated Risk

Calculated Risk
  • Author : Mark W. Clark
  • Publisher : Unknown
  • Release : 01 August 2021
GET THIS BOOK Calculated Risk

"Mark W. Clark was a major figure in World War II. He was prominent as one of the top American commanders. Together with Dwight D. Eisenhower, Omar N. Bradley, and George S. Patton, Jr., Clark was widely regarded as being responsible for victory on the European side of the conflict."--from the introduction One of the great World War II memoirs by a legendary American general in charge of operations in North Africa and Italy. General Mark W. Clark recounts

Calculated Risk

Calculated Risk
  • Author : Janie Crouch
  • Publisher : Harlequin
  • Release : 01 July 2019
GET THIS BOOK Calculated Risk

She thought she was finally safe, But her past won’t let her go. Sheriff’s deputy Tanner Dempsey is just doing his job when he stops a shoplifter trying to steal diapers and formula. But something about this frightened young woman makes him want to do more. Bree Daniels is grateful for Tanner’s help, but there’s so much she can never tell him… The truth is dangerous to everyone she lets into her life—and could be

Calculated Risk

Calculated Risk
  • Author : United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs. Subcommittee on Housing and Transportation
  • Publisher : Unknown
  • Release : 01 August 2021
GET THIS BOOK Calculated Risk

Calculated Risk

Calculated Risk
  • Author : Jonna Doolittle Hoppes
  • Publisher : Santa Monica Press
  • Release : 01 March 2005
GET THIS BOOK Calculated Risk

Famous for leading the Tokyo Raid, America's first strike against Japan in World War II, Jimmy Doolittle led a remarkable life as an American pilot. This firsthand account by his granddaughter reveals an extraordinary individual—a scientist with a doctorate in aeronautical engineering from MIT, an aviation pioneer who was the first to fly across the United States in less than 24 hours and the first to fly “blind” (using only his plane’s instruments), a barnstormer well known for aerobatics,

Calculated Risk

Calculated Risk
  • Author : George Leopold
  • Publisher : Purdue University Press
  • Release : 15 June 2016
GET THIS BOOK Calculated Risk

Unlike other American astronauts, Virgil I. "Gus"Grissom never had the chance to publish his memoirs. Killed along with his crewin a launch pad fire on January 27, 1967, Grissom also lost his chance to walkon the moon and return to describe his journey. Others went in his place. Thestories of the moon walkers are familiar. Less appreciated are Grissom'scontributions. The international prestige of winning the Moon Race cannotbe understated, and Grissom played a pivotal and enduring role in securing thatlegacy for

Calculated Risk

Calculated Risk
  • Author : Heather Woodhaven
  • Publisher : Harlequin
  • Release : 06 January 2015
GET THIS BOOK Calculated Risk

CLANDESTINE COVER-UP Accountant Victoria Hayes never would have thought discovering fraud in her office would put her life at risk. When her house catches fire, destroying the evidence she's collected, it seems the mastermind will do anything to keep Victoria from disclosing what she knows. Unsure what to do, she turns to her charming supervisor for help. But without much evidence, Jeff Tucker is reluctant to believe Victoria…until they both become suspects. Now they must work together to prove

Calculated Risk Large Print 16pt

Calculated Risk  Large Print 16pt
  • Author : Mark W. Clark
  • Publisher : ReadHowYouWant.com
  • Release : 01 April 2011
GET THIS BOOK Calculated Risk Large Print 16pt

Mark W. Clark was a major figure in World War II. He was prominent as one of the top American commanders. Together with Dwight D. Eisenhower, Omar N. Bradley, and George S. Patton, Jr., Clark was widely regarded as being responsible for victory on the European side of the conflict. - from the introduction One of the great World War II memoirs by a legendary American general in charge of operations in North Africa and Italy. General Mark W. Clark

Calculated Risk

Calculated Risk
  • Author : Zoe M McCarthy
  • Publisher : Pelican Ventures Book Group
  • Release : 21 November 2014
GET THIS BOOK Calculated Risk

Whoever said opposites attract was right, of course...but no one ever said what they attract. Jilted by the latest of her father's choices of 'real men,' Cisney Baldwin rashly accepts an invitation to spend Thanksgiving weekend with a sympathetic colleague and his family. Nick LeCrone is a man too much her opposite to interest her and too mild-mannered to make her overbearing father's 'list.' Now, Cisney fears Nick wants to take advantage of her vulnerable state over

Calculated Risk

Calculated Risk
  • Author : Collin Wilcox
  • Publisher : Overamstel Uitgevers
  • Release : 05 November 2013
GET THIS BOOK Calculated Risk

A gay man’s murder leads Hastings to a blackmail plot Charles Hardaway climbs the hill to his house, immediately missing the bright lights and conversation of the bar and dreading the return to his lover, who is slowly dying of AIDS. But Hardaway’s self-pity is interrupted by a pipe-wielding stranger, who crushes his skull before slipping away. It’s nighttime in the Castro, and another gay man has been sent to his grave. Homicide lieutenant Frank Hastings is

A Calculated Risk

A Calculated Risk
  • Author : Evan Wilson
  • Publisher : Clerisy Press
  • Release : 01 September 2009
GET THIS BOOK A Calculated Risk

In the aftermath of World War II and the Holocaust, the Truman White House led the effort to establish the state of Israel. But, was it inevitable that the U.S. would endorse the concept of a Jewish state? Was U.S. policy entirely pro-Jewish? To what extent did the State Department influence Presidents Roosevelt and Truman in regard to Palestine? How aware were the two presidents of the probable consequences of their decisions about the Middle East? A Calculated